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<article article-type="review-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">farmaec</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">FARMAKOEKONOMIKA. Modern Pharmacoeconomics and Pharmacoepidemiology</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>ФАРМАКОЭКОНОМИКА. Современная фармакоэкономика и фармакоэпидемиология</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2070-4909</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2070-4933</issn><publisher><publisher-name>IRBIS LLC</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17749/2070-4909/farmakoekonomika.2025.298</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">farmaec-1232</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEW ARTICLES</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРНЫЕ ПУБЛИКАЦИИ</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>IgA nephropathy: predicting the risks of progression</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>IgA-нефропатия: прогнозирование рисков прогрессирования</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0459-0488</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Корабельников</surname><given-names>Д. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Korabelnikov</surname><given-names>D. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Корабельников Даниил Иванович, к.м.н., доцент</p><p>2-я Брестская ул., д. 5, Москва 123056</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Daniil I. Korabelnikov, PhD, Assoc. Prof. </p><p>5 2nd Brestskaya Str., Moscow 123056</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3787-1147</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Манцаева</surname><given-names>М. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mantsaeva</surname><given-names>M. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Манцаева Мария Евгеньевна</p><p>2-я Брестская ул., д. 5, Москва 123056</p><p>ул. Намёткина, д. 16, корп. 4, Москва 117420</p><p>ул. Народного ополчения, д. 35, Москва 123060</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Maria E.  Mantsaeva</p><p>5 2nd Brestskaya Str., Moscow 123056</p><p>16 Nametkina Str., Moscow 117420</p><p>35 Narodnogo Opolcheniya Str., Moscow 123060</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">MariyaMantsaeva@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Автономная некоммерческая организация дополнительного профессионального образования «Московский медикосоциальный институт им. Ф.П. Гааза»<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Moscow Haass Medical and Social Institute<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru">Автономная некоммерческая организация дополнительного профессионального образования «Московский медикосоциальный институт им. Ф.П. Гааза»; Медицинское частное учреждение «Отраслевой клинико-диагностический центр ПАО «Газпром»;   Федеральное казенное учреждение здравоохранения «Главный клинический госпиталь Министерства внутренних дел Российской Федерации»<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Moscow Haass Medical and Social Institute; Branch Clinical and Diagnostic Center of PJSC Gazprom; Main Clinical Hospital of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>06</day><month>08</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>18</volume><issue>2</issue><elocation-id>294–303</elocation-id><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Korabelnikov D.I., Mantsaeva M.E., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Корабельников Д.И., Манцаева М.Е.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Korabelnikov D.I., Mantsaeva M.E.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.pharmacoeconomics.ru/jour/article/view/1232">https://www.pharmacoeconomics.ru/jour/article/view/1232</self-uri><abstract><p>Immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy is the most common form of chronic glomerulonephritis and one of the leading causes of end-stage renal disease. Currently, the ability to accurately predict the risk of this progression at the individual patient level is limited. This paper analyzes the scientific literature containing research results focused on identifying independent predictors of IgA nephropathy progression risk. According to most studies, variables such as proteinuria, arterial hypertension, and baseline kidney function have a stable and independent association with worse kidney prognosis. Histological changes in kidney biopsy serve as independent predictors. The combination of morphologic and clinical data improves predictive accuracy. To enhance treatment outcomes and long-term prognosis, further research is necessary, including the search for new biomarkers and the development of a universally accepted risk stratification system.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>Иммуноглобулин А-нефропатия (англ. immunoglobulin A, IgA) является наиболее распространенной формой хронического гломерулонефрита и одной из ведущих причин терминальной почечной недостаточности. В настоящее время возможности точного прогнозирования риска прогрессирования данной патологии на уровне отдельных пациентов ограничены. В статье проведен анализ научной литературы, содержащей результаты исследований, посвященных определению независимых предикторов риска про грессирования IgA-нефропатии. Согласно результатам большинства исследований такие переменные, как протеинурия, артериальная гипертензия и исходная функция почек, имеют устойчивую и независимую связь с ухудшением почечного прогноза. Гистологические изменения в нефробиоптате выступают как отдельные предикторы. Сочетание морфологических и клинических данных позволяет повысить точность прогнозирования. Для улучшения результатов лечения и отдаленных исходов необходимы дальнейшие исследования, включая поиск новых биомаркеров и разработку общепринятой системы стратификации риска.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>иммуноглобулин А-нефропатия</kwd><kwd>почечный исход</kwd><kwd>риск прогрессирования</kwd><kwd>предикторы прогрессирования</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd><kwd>многофакторный анализ</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>immunoglobulin A nephropathy</kwd><kwd>renal outcome</kwd><kwd>risk of progression</kwd><kwd>predictors of progression</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd><kwd>multivariate analysis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Шилов Е.М., Смирнов А.В., Козловская Н.Л. 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